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Table 3 Prognostic accuracy of OAC for moderately severe-to-severe disease compared to other widely used predictors

From: Oleic acid chlorohydrin, a new early biomarker for the prediction of acute pancreatitis severity in humans

Variable

Se

Sp

PPV

NPV

OAC ≥ 7.49 nM

96.6

90

90.3

96.4

SIRS at ER

71.4

70

69

72.4

Persistent SIRS

48.3

100

100

65.9

HTC at ER > 44%

44.8

66.7

56.5

55.6

BISAP ≥ 3

34.5

100

100

61.2

CRP ≥ 15 mg/dL at 48 h

68

80

73.9

75

  1. Se Sensitivity, SP specificity, PPV/NPV positive/negative predictive values, POF persistent organ failure, OAC oleic acid chlorohydrin, SIRS systemic inflammatory response syndrome, HTC hematocrit, BISAP bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis, CRP C-reactive protein