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Table 3 Performance of OHCA score at different cut-off points

From: Comparison of different clinical risk scores to predict long-term survival and neurological outcome in adults after cardiac arrest: results from a prospective cohort study

OHCA category

 > I

 > II

 > III

 

Cut-off 20 points

Cut-off 40 points

Cut-off 60 points

A: mortality at 2 years

 Total number of patients n

231

93

8

 2-year survivors n (%)

48 (20.8)

2 (2.1)

0 (0)

 Death within 2 years n (%)

183 (79.2)

91 (97.9)

8 (100)

 Sensitivity

75.9 (70.0, 81.2)

37.8 (31.6, 44.2)

3.3 (1.4, 6.4)

 Specificity

72.4 (65.1, 78.9)

98.9 (95.9, 99.9)

100.0 (97.9, 100.0)

 PPV

79.2 (73.4, 84.3)

97.8 (92.4, 99.7)

100.0 (63.1, 100.0)

 NPV

68.5 (61.2, 75.1)

53.4 (47.8, 59.0)

42.8 (37.9, 47.7)

 LLR + 

2.75 (2.14, 3.54)

32.85 (8.20, 131.55)

n. a

 LLR−

0.33 (0.26, 0.42)

0.63 (0.57, 0.70)

0.97 (0.94, 0.99)

B: mortality at 6 years

   

 Total number of patients n

202

93

8

 6-year survivors n (%)

19 (9.4)

2 (2.1)

0 (0)

 Death within 6 years n (%)

183 (90.6)

91 (97.9)

8 (100)

 Sensitivity

75.9 (70.0, 81.2)

37.8 (31.6, 44.2)

3.3 (1.4, 6.4)

 Specificity

62.7 (48.1, 75.9)

96.1 (86.5, 99.5)

100.0 (93.0, 100.0)

 PPV

90.6 (85.7, 94.2)

97.8 (92.4, 99.7)

100.0 (63.1, 100.0)

 NPV

35.6 (25.7, 46.3)

24.6 (18.8, 31.2)

18.0 (13.7, 22.9)

 LLR + 

2.04 (1.42, 2.93)

9.63 (2.45, 37.82)

n. a

 LLR−

0.38 (0.28, 0.52)

0.65 (0.58, 0.73)

0.97 (0.94, 0.99)

C: neurological outcome at 2 years

 Total number of patients n

212

93

8

 Good neurological outcome n (%)

27 (12.7)

2 (2.1)

0 (0)

 Poor neurological outcome n (%)

185 (87.3)

91 (97.9)

8 (100)

 Sensitivity

75.8 (69.9, 81.1)

37.3 (31.2, 43.7)

3.3 (1.4, 6.4)

 Specificity

69.7 (59.0, 79.0)

97.8 (92.1, 99.7)

100.0 (95.9, 100.0)

 PPV

87.3 (82.0, 91.4)

97.8 (92.4, 99.7)

100.0 (63.1, 100.0)

 NPV

51.2 (42.0, 60.4)

36.3 (30.2, 42.7)

27.4 (22.6, 32.6)

 LLR + 

2.50 (1.81, 3.45)

16.60 (4.18, 65.96)

n. a

 LLR−

0.35 (0.27, 0.45)

0.64 (0.58, 0.71)

0.97 (0.95, 0.99)

  1. Data presented as mean (95% CI) unless otherwise specified
  2. LLR + positive likelihood ratio, LLR− negative likelihood ratio, NPV negative predictive value, OHCA Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Score, PPV positive predictive value