| Favourable outcome (N = 726) | Unfavourable outcome (N = 643) | Univariable OR unfav outcome (95%CI) | Multivariable OR unfav. outcome (95%CI) | p-value multivariable analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Type of hospital | |||||
 Academic hospital | 88/726 (12%) | 129/643 (20%) | 1.6 (1.2–2.2)* | 1.59 (1.04–2.43) | 0.03 |
 Large non-academic hospital | 327/726 (45%) | 301/643 (47%) | Reference | – | – |
 Regional hospital | 311/726 (43%) | 213/643 (33%) | 0.7 (0.6–0.9)* | 0.79 (0.58–1.08) | 0.145 |
 Age (years)a | 59 (45–66) | 63 (54–72) | – | – | – |
  16 – 39 | 140/718 (19%) | 49/637 (8%) | 0.4 (0.3–0.6)* | 0.59 (0.37–0.96) | 0.03 |
  40–70 | 483/718 (67%) | 394/637 (62%) | Reference | – | – |
   > 70 | 95/718 (13%) | 194/637 (30%) | 2.5 (1.9–3.3)* | 2.86 (1.98–4.14) |  < 0.001 |
 Female sex | 337/726 (46%) | 295/643 (46%) | 1.0 (0.8–1.2) | 1.01 (0.76–1.36) | 0.925 |
 Otitis and/or sinusitis on admission | 316/709 (45%) | 201/608 (33%) | 0.6 (0.5–0.8)* | 0.75 (0.54–1.04) | 0.08 |
 Immunocompromised state | 207/726 (29%) | 251/643 (39%) | 1.6 (1.3–2.0)* | – | – |
 Active cancer | 27/723 (4%) | 38/637 (6%) | 1.7 (1.0–2.7) | 0.67 (0.32–1.40) | 0.288 |
 Diabetes mellitus | 97/725 (13%) | 109/638 (17%) | 1.3 (1.0–1.8) | 1.13 (0.74–1.73) | 0.568 |
 HIV | 6/726 (1%) | 5/641 (1%) | 1.2 (0.4–3.6) | 0.75 (0.16–3.44) | 0.707 |
 Asplenia | 12/726 (2%) | 15/641 (2%) | 1.5 (0.7–3.1) | 1.31 (0.49–3.48) | 0.594 |
 Alcoholism | 34/725 (5%) | 76/639 (12%) | 2.7 (1.8–4.2)* | 1.71 (1–2.95) | 0.05 |
 Immunosuppressive drugs | 58/725 (8%) | 62/636 (10%) | 1.2 (0.9–1.8) | 0.87 (0.50–1.52) | 0.627 |
Clinical signs and symptoms | |||||
 Triad** | 342/673 (51%) | 243/581 (42%) | 0.7 (0.6–0.9)* | 1.02 (0.74–1.40) | 0.900 |
 Rash | 80/651 (12%) | 43/551 (8%) | 0.6 (0.4–0.9)* | 0.92 (0.51–1.68) | 0.789 |
 Seizures | 60/703 (9%) | 94/591 (16%) | 2.1 (1.5–2.9)* | 1.57 (1–2.52) | 0.05 |
 Cranial nerve palsy | 30/603 (5%) | 67/471 (14%) | 3.6 (2.4–5.4)* | 2.76 (1.61–4.73) |  < 0.001 |
 Mono-, hemiparesis or aphasia | 131/657 (20%) | 138/506 (27%) | 2.2 (1.6–3.0)* | 1.28 (0.82–1.99) | 0.280 |
 Glasgow Coma Scale Scoreb | 10 (9–13) | 9 (7–11) | 0.9 (0.8–0.9)* | 0.96 (0.90–1.02) | 0.136 |
 Systolic blood pressure(mmHg)c | 142 (124–162) | 145 (125–165) | 1.00 (1.00–1.01) | – | – |
 Heart rate (bpm)d | 99 (84–110) | 106 (90–125) | – | – | – |
  < 60 | 20/702 (3%) | 9/608 (1%) | 0.7 (0.3–1.5) | 0.57 (0.20–1.66) | 0.304 |
 60–100 | 378/702 (54%) | 259/608 (43%) | Reference | – | – |
  > 100 | 304/702 (43%) | 340/608 (56%) | 1.6 (1.3–2.1)* | 1.21 (0.89–1.64) | 0.217 |
 Temperature (°C)e | 39.0 (38.1–39.7) | 38.8 (37.6–39.6) | 0.8 (0.8–0.9)* | 0.90 (0.80–1.02) | 0.097 |
Blood results | |||||
 Leukocytes (× 109 cells/l)f | 18 (13–23) | 16 (10–22) | – | – | – |
  < 4.00 | 6/719 (1%) | 35/634 (6%) | 4.4 (1.8–10.8)* | 4.16 (1.34–12.93) | 0.01 |
 4.00–10.00 | 87/719 (12%) | 116/634 (18%) | Reference | – | – |
  > 10.00 | 626/719 (87%) | 483/634 (76%) | 0.6 (0.4–0.8)* | 0.93 (0.61–1.42) | 0.744 |
 C-reactive protein (per 10 mg/L)g | 16 (8–27) | 25 (14–36) | 1.04 (1.03–1.05)* | 1.03 (1.02–1.04) |  < 0.001 |
CSF results | |||||
 Leukocytes in CSF (per µL)h | 4,219 (1190–9302) | 1,567 (252–5,920) | – | – | – |
  < 100 | 44/690 (6%) | 104/603 (17%) | 1.8 (1.2–2.8)* | 1.18 (0.65–2.15) | 0.584 |
 100–999 | 111/690 (16%) | 154/603 (26%) | Reference | – | – |
  > 999 | 535/690 (78%) | 345/603 (57%) | 0.5 (0.4–0.6)* | 0.74 (0.49–1.11) | 0.140 |
 CSF:blood glucose ratioi | 0.07 (0.01–0.29) | 0.02 (0.01–0.12) | – | – | – |
  < 0.25 | 467/657 (71%) | 472/555 (85%) | 1.5 (0.9–2.6) | 2.37 (1.01–5.53) | 0.05 |
 0.26–0.5 | 159/657 (24%) | 63/555 (11%) | 0.6 (0.3–1.2) | 1.14 (0.47–2.74) | 0.775 |
  > 0.5 | 31/657 (5%) | 20/555 (4%) | Reference | – | – |
 Protein (per 10 g/L)j | 0.39 (0.25–0.60) | 0.49 (0.30–0.69) | 1.00 (0.98–1.01) | – | – |
Causative pathogen | |||||
 S. pneumoniae | 554/726 (76%) | 517/643 (80%) | Reference | – | – |
 N. meningitidis | 97/726 (13%) | 27/643 (4%) | 0.3 (0.2–0.5)* | 0.58 (0.30–1.12) | 0.103 |
 H. influenzae | 19/726 (3%) | 8/643 (1%) | 0.5 (0.2–1.0) | 0.41 (0.12–1.35) | 0.142 |
 L. monocytogenes | 10/726 (1%) | 26/643 (4%) | 2.8 (1.3–5.8)* | 4.51 (1.67–12.17) | 0.003 |
 Other | 46/726 (6%) | 65/643 (10%) | 1.5 (1.0–2.3)* | 1.85 (1.04–3.28) | 0.04 |
Treatment and complications | |||||
 Adjunctive dexamethasone | 639/711 (90%) | 507/614 (83%) | 0.5 (0.4–0.7)* | 0.77 (0.48–1.23) | 0.271 |
 Mechanical ventilation | 255/707 (36%) | 460/622 (74%) | 4.9 (3.9–6.1)* | 2.83 (2.04–3.94) |  < 0.001 |
 Persistent feverk | 36/690 (5%) | 109/571 (19%) | 4.3 (2.9–6.5)* | 2.13 (1.31–3.47) | 0.002 |
 Circulatory shock | 40/688 (6%) | 180/584 (31%) | 7.3 (5.1–10.5)* | 4.70 (2.90–7.63) |  < 0.001 |