Table 2 Posterior probability distribution of the odds ratios for the primary exposure, frailty (CFS ≥ 5), in relation to the primary endpoint, 30-day mortality
OR (95% CrI) | Probability of Harm (OR > 1) | Probability of MCID (OR > 1.5) | Probability of large effect (1.5xMCID) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prior | |||||
Model-1 | Skeptical | 1.62 (1.48–1.76) | > 0.99 | 0.94 | < 0.01 |
Optimistic | 1.62 (1.49–1.76) | > 0.99 | 0.95 | < 0.01 | |
Pessimistic | 1.62 (1.49–1.77) | > 0.99 | 0.95 | < 0.01 | |
Model-2 | Skeptical | 1.60 (1.45–1.76) | > 0.99 | 0.89 | < 0.01 |
Optimistic | 1.60 (1.46–1.75) | > 0.99 | 0.90 | < 0.01 | |
Pessimistic | 1.61 (1.47–1.77) | > 0.99 | 0.92 | < 0.01 | |
Model-3 | Skeptical | 1.29 (1.16–1.44) | > 0.99 | < 0.01 | < 0.01 |
Optimistic | 1.29 (1.16–1.44) | > 0.99 | < 0.01 | < 0.01 | |
Pessimistic | 1.29 (1.16–1.42) | > 0.99 | < 0.01 | < 0.01 | |