Table 3 Posterior probability distribution of the odds ratios for the secondary exposure, frailty (per CFS point), in relation to the primary endpoint, 30-day mortality
OR (95% CrI) | Probability of Harm (OR > 1) | Probability of MCID (OR > 1.5) | Probability of large effect | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prior | |||||
Model-1 | Skeptical | 1.18 (1.16–1.21) | > 0.99 | > 0.99 | > 0.99 |
Optimistic | 1.18 (1.16–1.21) | > 0.99 | > 0.99 | > 0.99 | |
Pessimistic | 1.18 (1.16–1.21) | > 0.99 | > 0.99 | > 0.99 | |
Model-2 | Skeptical | 1.19 (1.16–1.22) | > 0.99 | > 0.99 | > 0.99 |
Optimistic | 1.19 (1.16–1.22) | > 0.99 | > 0.99 | > 0.99 | |
Pessimistic | 1.19 (1.16–1.22) | > 0.99 | > 0.99 | > 0.99 | |
Model-3 | Skeptical | 1.11 (1.08–1.14) | > 0.99 | > 0.99 | > 0.99 |
Optimistic | 1.12 (1.09–1.15) | > 0.99 | > 0.99 | > 0.99 | |
Pessimistic | 1.19 (1.07–1.14) | > 0.99 | > 0.99 | > 0.99 | |