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Table 4 Utility of scoring systems at predicting 12-month outcome in patients with cirrhosis admitted to ICU

From: Long-term outcome of patients with liver cirrhosis admitted to a general intensive care unit

 

Area under ROC curve

95% confidence interval

APACHE II

0.763

0.662, 0.864

SOFA

0.748

0.642, 0.855

CLIF-SOFA

0.782

0.684, 0.880

SOFA-Lactate

0.769

0.667, 0.871

Child–Pugh

0.718

0.609, 0.828

MELDa

0.823

0.735, 0.911

UKELD

0.778

0.675, 0.882

RFH

0.779

0.679, 0.879

Child–Pugh + Lactatea

0.804

0.712, 0.896

ABC + Lactatea

0.831

0.744, 0.919

  1. APACHE Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation, SOFA Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, CLIF-SOFA Chronic Liver Failure-SOFA, MELD Model for End-Stage Liver Disease, UKELD UK Model for End-stage Liver Disease, RFH Royal Free Hospital score, ABC albumin, bilirubin and clotting
  2. aModels with an area under curve above the threshold of 0.8